Politico-Economic Equilibrium and Economic Growth
(joint with Per Krusell and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull)
We propose a notion of dynamic politico-economic equilibrium
which builds on two key assumptions: policies are determined sequentially,
and agents are fully rational both in their roles as consumers and as voters.
Our object of interest is a simple model of endogenous growth and infinitely-lived
agents where taxes on income are endogenous, and we show how growth critically
depends on the initial distribution of asset holdings. In studying the
model economy we relate our equilibrium definition and results to two strands
of existing literature. The first is the literature on time-consistency,
and we show that our equilibria are time-consistent. Hence, our equilibrium
concept is the natural one for all those economies where the current political
decisions are not constrained by past decisions. Second, we review the
existing literature on political economy and growth and use the growth
model we study to compare a number of existing approaches to modeling policy
determination. We argue that the choice of equilibrium concept may have
large
quantitative implications. In particular, we show that equilibrium
concepts which either assume that voting only occurs at the beginning of
time, or that voters are myopic when they forecast future votes, lead to
lower equilibrium tax rates and higher growth than under our approach to
policy determination.